Quick, what’s your favourite
Confederations Cup moment? Anyone? Yeah, me neither. It’s hard to love a competition that at its
core seems to struggle just to convince that it should exist. Given that it started as a way to get
international teams to play in Saudi Arabia (only being brought under FIFA’s
organisation the third time it was staged) it’s unsurprising that its
reputation has been of a set of glorified exhibition games. We have a competition to decide the best team
between regional champions, it’s called the World Cup. Anything else seems superfluous. At least all the teams invited have started
turning up (Germany and France have declined in the past). This year’s may be the first when most of the
teams could really do with winning it.
The real reason it exists (since
2005) has been as a dry run for hosting the World Cup. As FIFA’s four year travelling nation state has grown
larger and larger this has become more and more prevalent in their
thinking. With Brazil apparently falling
behind on everything you get the feeling that they could do with a mini-tournament
hosted without any major hitches more than FIFA could. Sepp Blater’s every World Cup host country is
chaos a year before the event speech won’t convince everyone. Given that Brazil have effectively known they’d
be hosting for nine years if they’re not halfway prepared now you wonder if
they ever will be.
The sense of it being series of
exhibition matches in all but name is cemented by the fact that Brazil have won
it three times. For a couple of decades
they’ve been the undisputed kings of the far flung friendly, pitching up far
from home to play anyone who’ll pay to have them. This time they need success a lot more than
in previous events. Big Phil’s most recent stint is still in its infancy and he could do with gathering enough kudos to
keep the public on his side until next summer.
They need games tough enough to challenge them. If they don’t get them here they’ll be
dangerously undercooked this time next year.
The dry run of the infrastructure could be as important. They should find it confirmed that they have
work to do. Settling back into the
Maracana could be the biggest challenge, a stadium in the past that’s been so
demanding to its home team that in the past the Brazilian players have asked
not to play there. The ghosts of losing
the final as hosts in 1950 need exorcising.
Do that and get more of an idea of their best team and they should
consider it a success.
Challenging Brazil for the titles
of friendly kings recently have been Spain; a game against Panama last November
that the Spanish FA pocketed £4 million for and that Cesc Fabregas described as
pointless being a particular highlight.
This has all added to the feeling that their best players are beginning to
feel a bit jaded. The Champions League semi
finals certainly gave evidence to support that view. After two European Championships and a World
Cup there’s a sense of them as the football equivalent of Alexander, looking around
and weeping with no more world’s left to conquer. They’ve been careful to say publically that
they want to win the Confederations Cup to complete the set. You sense tiredness, mental as well as physical is the main factor against them. On form they
should still be the team to beat. If
they lose their momentum for next year could disappear. The next couple of weeks should tell us if
that group of players has one last hurrah left in them.
And then there’s the others. Uruguay might fancy reawakening the spirit of
1950 themselves. Since finishing fourth
in South Africa they’ve struggled to reach that form again, putting qualifying
for 2014 in doubt (although a recent win against Venezuela has lifted some of
the gloom). They’ve got a generation
coming to the end of the road together with doubts over who will replace
them. Forlan and Lugano in particular
will do well to make it another year.
They still have to work out a way to get the best out of Cavani and
Suarez simultaneously. Anything beyond
the semis will probably be beyond them. Italy
are in the midst of a rebuilding process that it taking slightly longer than
they would have hoped for. They could
also do with Balotelli discovering both his Milan form and some discipline. Good luck on either. Nigeria have struggled badly since winning
the Cup of Nations. The Super Eagles can
be dangerous but aren’t expected to do anything here. Mexico are another team out of form. Japan should perform admirably and lose more
than they win. And Tahiti get to have a
nice holiday and hopefully don’t get embarrassed too much.
It’s tough to see beyond either
Spain or with the benefit of home support, Brazil. Almost the best that could happen is Spain
beating Brazil in the final, leaving them in no doubt as to the amount of work
to do before next year. Ultimately the
biggest question is how Brazil will cope with the pressure of being hosts, both
on and off the field. They should have
concerns on both.
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